Islam’s Birth Rate Collapse May Have Strategic Consequences

The mainstream media outlets are finally catching up to a reality that economist and Asia Times writer David Goldman has been pointing out for some time now. That is the historically unprecedented drop in birth rates across the Muslim world. This phenomenon may have gone unnoticed because, until recently, Muslims around the globe have had a very high birth rate. The problem, as Goldman has pointed out in his book “How Civilizations Die (and Why Islam is Dying, Too),” is that the Muslim world is quickly losing the battle to resist modernity. As young Muslim women get educated and become more aware of the modern world, they have stopped having children at a rate never before seen. Because they started at such a high birthrate, many Muslim countries are still at or above the birth rate level of European Countries. The problem is that the birth rate is continuing to drop and has yet to bottom out.  In a recent PJ Media article, Goldman notes that the Washington Post has finally caught on and quotes them:

The Arab world may be experiencing a youth bulge now, fueling popular uprisings in Tunisia, Egypt and elsewhere. But as Eberstadt notes, what’s ahead over the next generation will probably be declines in the number of working-age adults and rapidly aging populations. The Arab countries are now struggling with what Eberstadt calls their “youthquake.” But the coming dilemma, he notes, is “how these societies will meet the needs of their graying populations on relatively low income levels.”

Goldman still does not think that the media outlets yet grasp the full impact of what is going on. The rate of demographic decline that the Islamic world is experiencing is not just a matter of inconvenience in caring for aging populations, but the collapse of civilization. He argues that the writings of some radical Muslim leaders indicate that they understand this and it accounts for their increasing radicalism. They know they are going down and they want to make as big of an impact on the world as they can before that happens. This makes them very unpredictable and dangerous. In his book he explains how some religions have flourished in embracing modernity, but much of the Islamic world took an adversarial stance against it and is now losing the battle to stem its influences. A lot of the radical behavior we are witnessing is the desperate gasp of a dying civilization.